Namaste and welcome to week 4, where the spreads are hot, the takes are hotter, and we plate our picks like a proper thali. Today’s menu: one buttery favorite, a vindaloo underdog, and a cooling raita teaser to keep your palate (and roster) calm.
We’re simmering a slow curry of value—no rushing the pot, no over-salting your units. Think basmati rules: long, separate grains—never sticky. Parlays? treat ’em like papadum: light, crisp, and strictly on the side. The public’s piling on the tikka-chalk again, but we’ll spoon from the back of the buffet where the spice lives. Watch for lines that rise like naan in a tandoor—when they puff up, we punch down and take our bite. (suck it Jensen and than you GPT)
Let’s get to beatin’ it!
Commish’n me softly…
It is crazy to think we are already a month into the season. If you recall, week one I went over the data from Sleeper to show where the most season champions come from based on draft spots. Here is a quick review going into week 4.
Sleeper’s 2024 data told us this about draft slots; For 12-team leagues, here’s the pecking order of championship odds from last year: Best odds to worst odds to win it all.
1, 5, 6, 7, 11, 10, 9, 12, 4, 8, 3, 2.
Four weeks in, is the data holding true? Simple answer…YES NO
On Par
Overperforming
Below Par
Bryant (data does not matter for Bryant. Although his team is very ass. As data would suggest it would be)
📊 Draft Slot History vs. This Season so far
| Team | Draft Slot | Sleeper Rank | Current Record |
| The Indianapolis Colts | Indiana | Jones | 3-0 BITCHES! |
| Austin (Show Me Your TDs) | 1 | 🏆 1st (Best slot) | 2-1 |
| Scotty (Captain Morgan) | 5 | 2nd | 3-0 |
| Murk (King Henry) | 6 | 3rd | 2-1 |
Bryant (The Faks) | Literally does not matter. You have no chance. | lol haha hehe | 0-3 |
| Kory (Halestorm) | 11 | 5th | 2-1 |
| Joey (Grand Admiral Jawn) | 10 | 6th | 1-2 |
| Justin (Kachow) | 12 | 7th | 2-1 |
| Jensen (Bower Rangers) | 9 | 8th | 1-2 |
| Corey (Pitt of Disapair) | 4 | 9th | 1-2 |
| Adam (Koukain Flain) | 8 | 10th | 0-3 |
| Nathan (The Nemmonster) | 3 | 11th | 1-2 |
| Cat (Bryant’s Tiny Grill) | 2 | 💀 12th (Worst slot) | 3-0 |
Takeaways:
- Scotty and Cat are overperforming so far this season. 3-0 starts. History would tell us this hot streak will not continue. Especially for cat, who should expect to come in dead last this year. But a 3-0 start is a great way to stick it to the nerds!
- Austin, Murk, C(k)or(e)y, Justin and Adam are all on track with where the data says they should be. This does not in any way mean they are doing well (Adam). It just means that data is data. And your team may be ass. But it is supposed to be. Congrats, you are passing the class!
- Jensen and Joey may want to start to hover over the panic button. Roughly ⅓ of the way through the fantasy regular season things do not look good. You are underperforming your draft position. Imagine spending as much time on fantasy as Joey does and being 1-2. Yikes. Your odds were both slim to win it all this season. But to give yourselves any chance. You need to start making moves.
- Bryant.
Whether you are where you want to be through 3 weeks or not. Remember one thing. This literally does not matter. And yet, it is everything! So nut up or shut up, bitch! Excuses are for the weak and the Miami Dolphins. QB spy the waivers, Cover 3 the trade blocks and all out blitz the Super Flex! It’s week 4!
If I remember, we will revisit this topic in week 8 and at the end of the season to see if the data lies.
The MCATL (And Friends) Fantasy Football League 